Middlesex vs Surrey Preview & Prediction: T20 Blast 2025

Table of Contents

• Introduction
• Match Information
• Points Table Analysis
• Recent Performance
• Head-to-Head Record
• Squad Analysis
• Prediction
• Conclusion

Introduction

The T20 Blast 2025 is heating up, and the South Group clash between Middlesex and Surrey is one of the standout fixtures. Scheduled for Thursday, July 17, 2025, at the iconic Lord’s Cricket Ground in London, this match pits two teams with a storied rivalry against each other. Surrey has been a dominant force this season, while Middlesex is battling to climb the standings, making this an intriguing contest for cricket fans.

Match Information

• Date: Thursday, July 17, 2025
• Time: 1:30 AM (Jul 17)
• Venue: Lord’s, London

Points Table Analysis

Here’s how Middlesex and Surrey stack up in the South Group standings:

Team	Mat	Won	Lost	Tied	NR	Pts	NRR
Somerset	12	10	2	0	0	40	+1.157
Surrey	11	8	3	0	0	32	+1.214
Hampshire	12	6	5	1	0	26	+0.720
Glamorgan	12	6	6	0	0	24	-0.153
Sussex	11	5	5	0	1	22	+0.471
Kent	12	5	6	0	1	22	-0.315
Gloucestershire	11	4	7	0	0	16	-0.904
Middlesex	11	3	6	1	1	16	-0.612
Essex	12	2	9	0	1	10	-1.032

Surrey is in second place with 8 wins from 11 matches and a strong net run rate (NRR) of +1.214, reflecting their consistency. Middlesex, however, languishes in eighth with just 3 wins from 11 games and a negative NRR of -0.612, indicating a challenging season so far.

Recent Performance

A look at the last five matches highlights the form of both teams:

Middlesex: W L L L W

• July 11, 2025: Middlesex won by 23 runs vs Gloucestershire
• July 09, 2025: Hampshire won by 3 wickets (2 balls remaining) vs Middlesex
• July 06, 2025: Gloucestershire won by 9 runs vs Middlesex
• June 20, 2025: Surrey won by 75 runs vs Middlesex
• June 19, 2025: Middlesex won by 1 run vs Essex

Middlesex has been inconsistent, with two wins overshadowed by three losses, including a heavy defeat to Surrey.

Surrey: W W L W W

• July 11, 2025: Surrey won by 6 wickets (5 balls remaining) vs Glamorgan
• July 09, 2025: Surrey won by 28 runs vs Gloucestershire
• July 06, 2025: Essex won by 4 wickets (0 balls remaining, D/L method) vs Surrey
• June 20, 2025: Surrey won by 75 runs vs Middlesex
• June 18, 2025: Surrey won by 48 runs vs Sussex

Surrey has been in top form, winning four of their last five, with their only loss a tight contest against Essex.

Head-to-Head Record

The last five encounters between Middlesex and Surrey show a clear trend:

• June 20, 2025: Surrey won by 75 runs
• Unknown Date: Match abandoned without a ball bowled
• Unknown Date: Surrey won by 56 runs
• Unknown Date: Middlesex won by 7 wickets (4 balls remaining)
• Unknown Date: Surrey won by 73 runs

Surrey has won three of the last five completed matches, with Middlesex securing just one victory. This dominance underscores Surrey’s edge in recent history.

Squad Analysis

Here’s a breakdown of the key players from both teams:

Middlesex Squad Highlights

• Batsmen: Kane Williamson (RHB), Leus du Plooy (C, LHB), Max Holden (LHB)
• All-rounders: Ryan Higgins (RHB, RMF), Luke Hollman (LHB, Leg Spin)
• Bowlers: Joshua Little (LAFM), Toby Roland-Jones (RMF), Tom Helm (RFM)

Middlesex has quality in Kane Williamson, a world-class batsman, and useful all-rounders like Ryan Higgins. Their bowling, led by Joshua Little, offers pace and variety.

Surrey Squad Highlights

• Batsmen: Jason Roy (RHB), Dan Lawrence (RHB), Ollie Pope (RHB)
• All-rounders: Sam Curran (C, LHB, LMF), Will Jacks (RHB, Off Spin), Mitchell Santner (LHB, Off Spin)
• Bowlers: Reece Topley (LAFM), Adam Zampa (Leg Spin), Chris Jordan (RFM)

Surrey’s squad is stacked with talent, from explosive batsmen like Jason Roy to versatile all-rounders like Sam Curran and a potent bowling attack featuring Adam Zampa and Reece Topley.

Comparison: Surrey’s depth and international experience outshine Middlesex’s more modest lineup.

Prediction

Using a data-driven approach, here are the key factors influencing the outcome:

• Form: Surrey’s four wins in five matches contrast with Middlesex’s two wins.
• Standings: Surrey’s second place and +1.214 NRR dwarf Middlesex’s eighth place and -0.612 NRR.
• Head-to-Head: Surrey’s recent dominance, including a 75-run win, is a strong indicator.
• Squad: Surrey’s star-studded team has more match-winners than Middlesex.

Prediction: Surrey is the clear favorite to win on July 17, 2025. Middlesex could upset the odds with standout performances from players like Kane Williamson, but the data heavily favors Surrey.

Conclusion

The Middlesex vs Surrey match at Lord’s promises excitement, with Surrey entering as the stronger side based on form, standings, and squad quality. Middlesex will need a herculean effort to overcome their rivals, but in T20 cricket, anything is possible. Expect Surrey to claim victory in this South Group showdown.